NFL play for this Thursday’s preseason doubleheader comes courtesy of Underdog Fantasy.
My Confidence Rating for every pick is out of 10 and can be found below the player names, we have two in Vikings vs. Seahawks at 9/10 or so.
NFL Underdog Fantasy Play
in the table below. You’ll find a selection of top players for each NFL team from today’s games. Click on a selection or team logo to navigate to the specific bets mentioned in this article.
Under 44.5 Running Distance + Defensive Distance (7/10)
The Patriots should only use three backruns tonight, which gives Taylor a very high point lead. This pillar still seems a bit high.
I’m guessing the Pats will use Pierre Strong and Kevin Harris the most. Since both are unproven sophomores competing for the No. 2 position, New England has tried vets like Dalvin Cook and Leonard Fournette. So they might want to take a good look at Strong and Harris while evaluating the RB situation behind Rhamondre Stevenson. Taylor has been with NE for three seasons. And they already know what they have in them.
I’m projecting Taylor’s median to approach 35.5 rushing + receiving yards.
choose: JJ Taylor Under 44.5 Running + Defensive Distance
Under 2 receptions (7/10)
The Patriots are expected to have Tyquan Thornton, Demario Douglas, Tre Nixon and Kayshon Boutte represented tonight.
Raleigh Webb should have a lot more runs tonight as well. But it could be when Trace McSorley and Malik Cunningham are centered for the Patriots. At that point in the game, the two QBs will contend at a higher rate. This means Webb’s chances of seeing a lot of goals tonight are diminished.
I like the fact that we’re driven by two receptions here, as it’s very likely that Webb will end up with zero or one reception instead of three or more. I have his median near 1.5.
choose: Raleigh Webb under 2 receptions
Passing distance over 96.5 yards (6/10)
Mullens is expected to start for the Vikings and will play most of the first half. The Vikings said that Jordan Addison will play And even though it might just be a 1-2 drive, I bet they want to aim hard at the first-round receiver while he’s there. Mullens averaged 7.0 yards per attempt on 145 preseason attempts and should have a few starting Pascalibur interceptors at his disposal.
I predict Mullens’ median is close to 112.5, but there is a risk that Jaren Hall will replace him before halftime. (and potential 2-minute drills) that increase the risk. Which is why I only give it a 6/10.
If I’m making a Five Pack for Double Header tonight, this is a proposition I won’t leave out.
choose: Nick Mullens passes for over 96.5 yards.
Over 35.5 Running + Receiving Yards (6/10)
Alexander Mattison is unlikely to fit into the starting line-up and Keane Nwangvu is knocked out, meaning he could be sent off. We can see DeWayne McBride and Ty Chandler getting plenty of reps tonight as the Vikings have a three-way battle for their backup running back.
Chandler tends to see a few receptions, which helps him a lot in this niche market. I’m projecting his median near 40.5 runs + receiving yards. Expect this number to increase or be taken off the board if/when Nwangwu is suspended.
choose: Ty Chandler over 35.5 rushing + receiving yards.
Under 1.5 Reception (9/10)
The Vikings are likely to lose the match at RB tonight, meaning Smith will see quite a bit of pace, however, they will likely be in the second half with Hall scrambling at a high rate. This will result in fewer RB checkdowns. Additionally, Smith only joined the team Aug. 4, so he may not be handling the playbook well. He has never made a history as a counter-attacker.
It was difficult for Smith to solve this problem. Because I’m projecting his median closer to a certain point.
choose: Abram Smith Under 1.5 Reception
Sarodoric Thompson Jr.
Below 1.5 Reception (10/10)
The Seahawks’ RB rotation tonight is a mystery. But we’ll see quite a bit of rookie Zach Charbonnet in the first half. Looks like Bryant Coback will have the most touches and it may happen in the second half. That’s when I expected SaRodrick Thompson Jr. to see most of his snaps. That’s when we’ll see quarterback Holton Ahlers, the first QB with a scramble, who seems less likely to check his RB.
Thompson was only signed 10 days ago and wasn’t overused in games at Texas Tech. I’m projecting his median to approach one reception.
choose: SaRodorick Thompson Jr. Under 1.5 reception
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