The Miami Marlins (60-56) welcome New York Yankees (59-56) Loan Depot park Friday. First pitch is set for 6:40 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze the BetMGM Sportsbook lines around it. Yankees vs. Marlins odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season Series: First meeting since the Yankees swept 3 games in a row in 2021.
The Marlins toppled the Cincinnati Reds 5-4 on Wednesday and are currently 3rd in the NL East, 13 1/2 games behind the Atlanta Braves. Miami is 32-24 at home this season and 3-7 in the last 10.
The Yankees are losing 9-2 to the Chicago White Sox on Wednesday and despite scoring over .500, they are still last in the AL East 12 games behind the Baltimore O. Rioles New York are 24-28 on the road and 4-6 for the last 10 years.
Yankees where Marlins start to shine
hospital Randy Vasquez vs. LHP Jesus Lusardo
Vasquez (1-1, 1.17 ERA) is starting for the fourth time. He has a 1.04 WHIP, 4.1 BB/9 and a 5.9 K/9 to 15 1/3 IP.
- It is rumored to be called up to start on Friday.
- Final Start: No decision, 5 IP, 3 H, 0 ER, 3 BB, 1 K in a 6-3 home loss against the Orioles on July 5.
- Not playing in 2023 and never facing Miami.
Lusardo (8-6, 3.52 ERA) is starting his 24th game. He has a 1.20 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and a 10.7 K/9 to 130 1/3 IP.
- Last Start: Lost 5 1/3 IP, 6 H, 4 ER, 2 BB, 8 K in a 6-2 loss against the Texas Rangers last Friday.
- 2023 home split: 4-2, 2.64 ERA in 78 1/3 IP through 13 starts.
Yankees at Marlins odds
Powered by BetMGM Sportsbook; Access USA TODAY’s Sports Scores and Sports Odds Center for the full list. Line last updated at 11:03 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ml.): Yankees +120 ($100 bet to win $120) | Marlins -145 ($145 bet to win $100)
- Running line (RL)/Anti-spread (ATS): Yankees +1.5 (-165) | Marlins -1.5 (+140)
- Over/Under (O/U): 8.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Yankees at Marlins picks and predictions
Marlins 5, Yankees 2
The Yankees (+120) have struggled late and are only 1-3 in their last four games. New York is stronger at home than on the road, where it’s only 24-28 on the season.
However, New York’s Moneyline isn’t worth playing around with the starting pitcher’s question. Miami (-145) will likely come out on top Friday with Lusardo at the top. But there are better values to be found in the runline.
Run line/anti spread
Lean Marlin -1.5 (+140).
The Yankees are just 4-7 in their last 11 games, having lost seven games on 2 or more runs.
Miami is 34-24 at home and 15-25 in the runline as a favorite.
Although that’s not a great statistic. but with this value And considering how badly the Yankees played along with the inexperienced starter likely to be on the mound. Marlins -1.5 (+140) Still a worthwhile play
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Bet Under 8.5 (-115).
If there’s one thing both teams have done well this season, it’s that. That’s hitting the unders.
New York is 51-60-4 O/U and Miami is 51-61-4 O/U this season. The Marlins have lost four games in a row and have lost six of their last seven.
Luzardo has 2 or fewer earned runs in 7 of his last 9 starts. New York has scored 3.3 runs per game over their last three games, with one 2 run and 1 run. It has underperformed in 4 of the last 7 times.
take Under 8.5 (-115).
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