MLB Prop Picks & Best Bets: Can Altuve Make It Sizzle?

The NL East’s doubleheader matchup between the Atlanta Braves and New York Mets takes Major League Baseball’s slate Saturday into a packed 16-game run. Read on for the top MLB picks and best bets for Saturday based on odds. Top MLB odds from our best sports betting app.

The Underdogs had a winning record over the previous two days as they entered Friday (13-10), but the MLB favorite responded while winning 10 of 15 games yesterday, with the Overs going 10-5. Win two days in a row on a Saturday?

Here are our top MLB picks and the best bets for Saturday. (Odds available through bet365, DraftKings and BetMGM. Confidence in selection is based on a 1 to 5 star rating.)

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Saturday’s MLB schedule and odds

  • Atlanta Braves (-218) vs. New York Mets (+180) Game 1
  • Chicago Cubs (-105) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (-115)
  • Detroit Tigers (+164) vs. Boston Red Sox (-198)
  • Cleveland Guardians (+124) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (-148)
  • New York Yankees (+140) vs. Miami Marlins (-166)
  • Minnesota Twins (-110) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-110)
  • Oakland Athletics (+105) vs. Washington Nationals (-125)
  • Cincinnati Reds (-115) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (-105)
  • St. Louis Cardinals (-142) vs. Kansas City Royals (+120)
  • Atlanta Braves (-218) vs. New York Mets (+180) Game 2
  • Los Angeles Angels (+160) vs. Houston Astros (-192)
  • Milwaukee Brewers (-155) vs. Chicago White Sox (+130)
  • San Diego Padres (+130) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (-155)
  • Texas Rangers (+105) vs. San Francisco Giants (-125)
  • Colorado Rockies (+245) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (-305)
  • Baltimore Orioles (+145) vs. Seattle Mariners (-175)

Saturday’s best MLB bets

  • Prop Player: Chris Bassitt Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-105 via DraftKings) vs. Cubs ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Prop Player: Sandy Alcantara records over 18.5 (-115 via bet365) vs Yankees ⭐⭐⭐
  • Prop Player: Jose Altuve over 0.5 points (-125 via bet365) vs Angels ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Total: Rangers-Giants Under 8 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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Saturday’s MLB Pole Picks

Player Sponsors: Chris Bassitt Under 2.5 Runs Earned vs. Cubs (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

This matchup between the Chicago Cubs and Toronto Blue Jays comes with an astonishingly high total of 8.5, and it’s got a lot of attention from our best sportsbooks, even though the Under cashed 13 games out of it. Toronto’s last 16 games are on track.

However, this bet focuses on Chris Bassitt, who started seven out of six-plus innings without allowing a run, tied with teammate Kevin Gausman for the most in a major. Bassitt is one of four Blue Jays starters who Ranked in the top 17 in the AL in ERA, he also has a much better share while pitching at home, as his home ERA and WHIP are 2.56 and 0.92, respectively, compared to 5.19 and 1.57 on the road.

This is a four star game. When Bassitt faces the Cubs, who rank last in the majors with a 26.8% head-to-head hit rate, in road games against right-handed pitchers since July 1.

DraftKings is the only sportsbook where bettors will pay less than standard juice to support the Under, as bet365 and Caesars offer -110 and -121 odds respectively.

Player Support: Sandy Alcantara records over 18.5 against Yankees (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

The New York Yankees weren’t nicknamed the “Bronx Bombers” all season long. As they have scored three times or fewer in half of their last 104 games, New York ranks second-worst among AL teams in wRC+, wOBA and OPS during road games against right-handed pitchers. This should allow Miami Marlins Ezzandy Alcantara to get into the groove early. during this start

Alcantara’s 11 complete games since 2019, 5 more than the next-highest total. statistics centerAnd his second in 2023 came three times ago. Eligibility has recorded 24 outs again during that time and fewer than 18 single outs since June 16 (nine starts).

New York has done its best to increase their opponent’s throw count. However, Alcantara has shown flawless control lately, walking one or less in five of his previous six starts.

The best odds for this bet are at bet365 as DraftKings and Caesars have higher odds at odds of -125 and -129 respectively to back the Over.

Player Support: Jose Altuve to score over 0.5 vs Angels (-125 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Houston Astros have been under their management in 14 of their last 23 home games, netting a profit of +4.20 over that period. But we like Houston’s chances to hit the ground running Saturday against Los Angeles Angels vice-leader Tyler Anderson. As the Astros rank in the top 7 in wRC+, OPS, wOBA and strikeout per walk per pitch left-hander ratio in 2023.

Jose Altuve came in the midst of a 13-game hitting streak when he hit .434 with a .500 BABIP and an even more eye-catching 1.214 OPS. Altuve also posted a wRC+ of 238 during that period and the next highest Astros hitter was 192. He has also been successful against Anderson, slashing .273/.333/.545 over 11 careers. That’s why Altuve shouldn’t struggle to score if he continues to hold the base at a high clip.

The same -125 odds can be found at DraftKings, and the odds are a steal compared to FanDuel’s -175 odds for Altuve to skip the plate.

Pick MLB games on Saturdays.

Total: Rangers-Giants Under 8 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Backing the Under plays almost automatically when the left-handed pitcher recently faced the San Francisco Giants. The Giants ranked No. 27 in wRC+, No. 28 in BABIP (.262), and No. 28 in OPS (.607). ) versus the Southpaws since July 1. They now face Texas Rangers winger Andrew Heaney, who is 4-1 with a 3.60 ERA in his final. Made seven starts and passed 11 2/3 innings with no runs allowed.

Heaney’s opponent is Alex Cobb, whose 1.46 ERA in nine home starts leads the way in the majors. Cobb has made quality starts in six of his last seven matches at Oracle Park, and he will now face the short-handed Rangers. With no Jonah Heim or Josh Jung, the two accounted for 26 combined home runs and 100 RBIs per right-handed throw before landing at IL.

This line doesn’t have much variance. Because all of our best live betting sites listed them all at 8, with only FanDuel juicing lower (-118).

MLB Best Bets 8/12/2023 at 6:21 AM ET

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