Friday’s 15-game Major League Baseball slate features 14 new series as we head into another exciting weekend. Read on for our top MLB picks and the best bets for Friday by. Consider the best MLB Odds.
Many of the series that start on Friday have major semifinal branching out. One of them is between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Chicago Cubs, with each team battling wildcard in their respective leagues.
Elsewhere, the San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks have two of the longest losing streaks in the league (they’ve lost 12 games between them) and are looking for wins to build momentum to stay in the playoff race.
Here are our top MLB picks and the best bets for Friday. (Odds through our best MLB betting sites Choose Confidence on a 1 to 5 Star Rating)
- New York Yankees (+120) vs. Miami Marlins (-142)
- Cleveland Guardians (+170) vs. Tampa Bay Rays (-205)
- Oakland Athletics (-112) vs. Washington Nationals (-108)
- Cincinnati Reds (-115) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (-105)
- Minnesota Twins (+136) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (-162)
- Chicago Cubs (+124) vs. Toronto Blue Jays (-148)
- Detroit Tigers (+136) vs. Boston Red Sox (-162)
- Atlanta Braves (-175) vs. New York Mets (+145)
- Los Angeles Angels (+170) vs. Houston Astros (-205)
- St. Louis Cardinals (-112) vs. Kansas City Royals (-108)
- Milwaukee Brewers (-175) vs. Chicago White Sox (+145)
- San Diego Padres (-162) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (+136)
- Colorado Rockies (+250) vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (-310)
- Baltimore Orioles (+120) vs. Seattle Mariners (-142)
- Texas Rangers (-115) vs. San Francisco Giants (-105)
- Player Proposition: Kyle Tucker over 0.5 RBI (+160 via bet365) vs Angels ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Player Support: Aaron Civale Under 4.5 strikeouts (+116 via FanDuel) vs Guardians ⭐⭐⭐
- Player Sponsors: Luis Castillo for record win (+135 via bet365) vs Orioles ⭐⭐⭐
- Upset: Rockies (+265 via WynnBet) vs. Dodgers ⭐⭐⭐
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Friday’s MLB Deals
Houston Astros batsman Kyle Tucker hasn’t averaged his best over the past seven days (. 227), but his double home run comprised eight of his 12 total bases in the span. and was largely responsible for his .938 OPS and led the team nine RBI.
Tucker prefers a left-handed pairing, where he slashes .345/.411/.597 against his right hand and .271/.361/.473. against a right-handed pitcher He now faces Los Angeles Angels left-hander Reid Detmers, who has disappointingly allowed left-handers to use the .312 OBA.
Detmers has been on the downside, pitching to a 6.25 ERA across his previous seven starts. He was coming off an outing in which he was dismissed seven times for nine hits in four innings by a Seattle Mariners team that entered the bottom half of the league in nearly every major statistical category against lefties (wRC+, wOBA, slugging). We expect the Astros to go up against him again with Tucker leading the way.
The +160 odds found on bet365 for Tucker to drive in the run is a steal considering he is as low as +105 in doing so at FanDuel.
Player Sponsors: Aaron Civale Under 4.5 Strikes vs. Guardians (+116 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
This is Aaron Civale’s second start with the Tampa Bay Rays and he immediately faces his former Cleveland Guardians teammate. half past And while we want to go back, Over on Civale’s run collectively gets it. Cleveland has performed poorly late on with three or fewer runs in nine of its last 13 games, with zero or one run in five of them.
However, one thing Cleveland has done well throughout the season is capping strikeouts with MLB’s best 18.5% strike rate even amid recent offensive inefficiencies. That number, however, is up just 20.2% over the past 14 days, ranking among the best among AL teams at the time.
Civale has lost four or fewer balls in five of his previous seven starts. And we expect him to fight in that division against his former team-mates tonight.
While DraftKings and bet365 have odds as low as +105 on this bet, FanDuel finds much better value.
Seattle is hot 24-10 in its last 34 games (+12.15 units, 29% ROI), the best MLB record in that period. And while the Baltimore Orioles’ .657 winning percentage (a 23-12 record) is second-best in the AL and third-best overall in the range, We’re giving the Mariners an edge as the Orioles have played a murderous table, with 15 of their last 16 series coming against teams of 0.500 or better.
Seattle covered 60% of the game (3-2) with an advantage over the rest of their opponents, and the day after the day off (9-6) Luis Castillo had won just two of his previous seven. But has pitched for a 3.24 ERA in four starts with first team, and his 1.02 WHIP that span ranked 14th overall and eighth among AL pitchers. Additionally, his 3.36 xFIP vs. 4.29 FIP. true during that time This indicates that his overall numbers could be better. And we’re willing to back him with one of the two winning 71-point teams.
bet365 is our shop for this bet, as Caesars and DraftKings offer +120 and +130 odds respectively.
While the Colorado Rockies are 7-22 the worst MLB against their division. (None of the teams had won fewer than 11 starts against their division opponent.) This line felt too high considering it matched the starting pitching alone. Austin Gomber of Colorado had won five of his previous eight starts, while Pitching at a 2.63 ERA Six of Gomber’s last seven starts have been quality starts, and his Stuff+ (77), Location+ (99) and Pitching+ (94) would have been rated much higher if not more. Entering July with a 6.64 ERA in his first 17. As it is, Gomber isn’t far behind Lance Lynn’s numbers (97 Stuff+, 106 Location+, 108 Pitching+).
Colorado only wins 33.9% of their games as the underdog. But covered the running path in 52.5% of those games. Therefore, we support a positive regression from single-run game misfortune. Because this price is too good to be overlooked in the opening of the series.
WynnBet is the only sportsbook that can find Rockies at odds greater than +260.
MLB Best Bets 8/11/2023 at 7:47 AM ET
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