Brighton vs Luton Town odds
The Premier League started with a full slate first Saturday as Luton Town returned to the English top flight for the first time since 1992 against Brighton on England’s south coast. Brighton had plenty of news off the pitch this week in talks to sell midfielder Moises. Caicedo for Liverpool or Chelsea Both clubs are bidding and competing for his services this season. But Brighton have already started planning for life after Caicedo and midfielder Alexis Mac Allister they sold to Liverpool earlier in the window.
Brighton consistently defied expectations and beat the market score time after time. when entering the new season The market wants to discount the Seagulls from these two big losses in midfield. Given how Brighton have looked at their representatives, however, I remain extremely optimistic about their chances of finishing in the top four again.
They are priced as the eighth-best team in the league. My power rating is higher than that due to the attacking upside which has been consistent in the spring under Roberto De Zerbi.
The Seagulls have lost both Caicedo and Mac Allister but could boost their overall production. Brighton have bought Joao Pedro, who is expected to start in attacking midfield on Saturday. He was involved in 15 goals in 30 90 playing for Watford in the Championship last year as a 20-year-old. showing a true ability to elevate the attacking line through his passing style.
His history with Solly March should provide real optimism for Pedro’s skill set in this system. But his possession and shots should work in Brighton’s midfield. Kauro Mitoma will be Brighton’s left-winger and he was one of the best strikers in Europe last season leading the ball into the box. blame
when in the penalty area Brighton even have Ferguson and Danny Welbeck, both of whom shone in their roles last season and have strong forward passes. Welbeck is still sitting between 0.4-0.5 xG per 90 and Ferguson is young. But it has the potential to go even higher this season.
Losing Caicedo will hurt Brighton’s ability to maintain possession when pressured by a better, more aggressive team. But that doesn’t apply to Luton this time around, as they will benefit from Billy Gilmour and Mahmoud Dahoud’s positive run.
Luton Town will play a large part of the start of this season on the road thanks to improvements at Kenilworth Road. And Hatters did not enter the new campaign in clean health. Several key players from last season were out on Saturday, midfielder Jordan Clarke, who contributed six goals in 3490 last year, and defender Dan Potts out for several weeks.
The Hatters are also second to two of their top three centre-back options. And perhaps starting a new pair of defenders with little experience playing together, Carlton Morris is expected to carry the burden of Luton’s top scorer this year after netting 20 goals in the Championship. Last year, at the age of 26, his season
Morris averaged 0.51 xG+xA per 90, solid production for the Championship. If you scale down the standard conversion rate of 20% to PL, though, it’s a clearly below-average attacking result for a central striker.
The Hatters made nine new signings in the off-season in an attempt to maintain their form. But it will take some time for them to select the best starting XI and try to compete at this level. It will start with the ugly result of the outing.
Brighton vs Luton Town.
Betting selection and prediction
Brighton showed some real defensive flaws towards the end of the season, but Luton Town didn’t lack possession or defensive lines to cause problems for the Seagulls. Gone are the days when Brighton were ineffective in third place. With Mitoma and Pedro constantly bringing the ball into the penalty area I expect to put some pressure on Luton Town’s defensive line in the penalty area.
The Seagulls are probably close by two goals in my view. And I bet Brighton -1.5 at -120 or better.
choose: Brighton -1.5 (-110 and above)
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